12.10.1. "If digital money is so great, why isn't it being used?" - Hasn't been finished. Protocols are still being researched, papers are still being published. In any single area, such as toll road payments, it may be possible to deploy an application-specific system, but there is no "general" solution (yet). There is no "digital coin" or unforgeable object representing value, so the digital money area is more similar to the similarly nonsimple markets in financial instruments, commercial papers, bonds, warrants, checks, etc. (Areas that are not inherently simple and that have required lots of computerization and communications to make manageable.) - Flakiness of Nets. Systems crash, mail gets delayed inexplicably, subscriptions to lists get lunched, and all sorts of other breakages occur. Most interaction on the Nets involves a fair amount of human adaptation to changing conditions, screwups, workarounds, etc. These are not conditions that inspire confidence in automated money systems! - Hard to Use. Few people will use systems that require generating code, clients, etc. Semantic gap (generating stuff on a Unix workstation is not at all like taking one's checkbook out). Protocols in crypto are generally hard to use and confusing. - Lack of compelling need. Although people have tried various experiments with digital money tokens or coupons (Magic Money/Tacky Tokens, the HeX market, etc.), there is little real world incentive to experiment with them. And most of the denominated tokens are for truly trivial amounts of money, not for anything worth spending time learning. No marketplace for buyers to "wander around in." (You don't buy what you don't see.) - Legal issues. The IRS does not look favorably on alternative currencies, especially if used in attempts to bypass ordinary tax collection schemes. This and related legal issues (redemptions into dollars) put a roadblock in front of serious plans to use digital money. - Research Issues. Not all problems resolved. Still being developed, papers being published. Chaum's system does not seem to be fully ready for deployment, certainly not outside of well-defined vertical markets. 12.10.2. "Why isn't digital money in use?" - The Meta Issue: *what* digital money? Various attempts at digital cash or digital money exist, but most are flawed, experimental, crufty, etc. Chaum's DigiCash was announced (Web page, etc.), but is apparently not even remotely usable. + Practical Reasons: - nothing to buy - no standard systems that are straightforward to use - advantages of anonymity and untraceability are seldom exploited - The Magic Money/Tacky Tokens experiment on the Cypherpunks list is instrucive. Lots of detailed work, lots of posts-- and yet not used for anything (granted, there's not much being bought and sold on the List, so...). - Scenario for Use in the Near Future: A vertical application, such as a bridge toll system that offers anonymity. In a vertical app, the issues of compatibility, interfaces, and training can be managed. 12.10.3. "why isn't digital cash being used?" + many reasons, too many reasons! + hard issues, murky issues - technical developments not final, Chaum, Brands, etc. + selling the users - who don't have computers, PDAs, the means to do the local computations - who want portable versions of the same + The infrastructure for digital money (Chaum anonymous- style, and variants, such as Brands) does not now exist, and may not exist for several more years. (Of course, I thought it would take "several more years" back in 1988, so what do I know?) - The issues are familiar: lack of standards, lack of protocols, lack of customer experience, and likely regulatory hurdles. A daunting prospect. - Any "launches" will either have to be well-funded, well- planned, or done sub rosa, in some quasi-legal or even illegal market (such as gambling). - "The american people keep claiming in polls that they want better privacy protection, but the fact is that most aren't willing to do anything about it: it's just a preference, not a solid imperative. Until something Really Bad happens to many people as a result of privacy loss, I really don't think much will be done that requires real work and inconvenience from people, like moving to something other than credit cards for long-distance transactions... and that's a tragedy."[L. Todd Masco , 1994-08-20] 12.10.4. "Is strong crypto needed for digital cash?" - Yes, for the most bulletproof form, the form of greatest interest to us and especially for agents, autonomous systems + No, for certain weak versions (non-cryptographic methods of security, access control, biometric security, etc. methods) - for example, Internet billing is not usually done with crypto - and numbered Swiss accounts can be seen as a weak form of digital cash (with some missing features) - "warehouse receipts," as in gold or currency shipments 12.10.5. on why we may not have it for a while, from a non-Cypherpunk commenter: - "Government requires information on money flows, taxable items, and large financial transactions.....As a result, it would be nearly impossible to set up a modern anonymous digital cash system, despite the fact that we have the technology.....I think we have more of a right to privacy with digicash transactions, and I also think there is a market for anonymous digicash systems. " [Thomas Grant Edwards. talk.politics.crypto, 1994-09-06] 12.10.6. "Why do a lot of schemes for things like digital money have problems on the Net? + Many reasons - lack of commercial infrastructure in general on the Net...people are not used to buying things, advertising is discouraged (or worse), and almost everything is "free." - lack of robustness and completeness in the various protocols: they are "not ready for prime time" in most cases (PGP is solid, and some good shells exist for PGP, but the many other crypto protocols are mostly not implemented at all, at least not widely). + The Net runs "open-loop," as a store-and-forward delivery system - The Net is mostly a store-and-forward netword, at least at the granularity seen by the user in sending messages, and hence is "open loop." Messages may or may not be received in a timely way, and there is little opportunity for negotiaton on a real-time basis. - This open-loop nature usually works...messages get through most of the time. And the "message in a bottle" nature fits in with anonymous remailers (with latency/delay), with message pools, and with other schemes to make traffic analysis harder. A "closed- loop," responsive system is likelier to be traffic- analyzed by correlation of packets, etc. - but the sender does not know if it gets through (return receipts not commonly implemented...might be a nice feature to incorporate; agent-based systems (Telescript?) will certainly do this) - this open-loop nature makes protocols, negotiation, digital cash very tough to use--too much human intervention needed - Note: These comments apply mainly to _mail_ systems, which is where most of us have experimented with these ideas. Non-mail systems, such as Mosaic or telnet or the like, have better or faster feedback mechanisms and may be preferable for implementation of Cypherpunks goals. It may be that the natural focus on mailing lists, e-mail, etc., has distracted us. Perhaps a focus on MUDs, or even on ftp, would have been more fruitful...but we're a mailing list, and most people are much more familiar with e-mail than with archie or gopher or WAIS, etc. - The legal and regulatory obstacles to a real system, used for real transactions, are formidable. (The obstacles to a "play" system are not so severe, but then play systems tend not to get much developer attention.) 12.10.7. Scenario for deployment of digital cash - Eric Hughes has spent time looking into this. Too many issues to go into here, but he had this interesting scenario, repeated almost in toto here: - "It's very unlikely that a USA bank will be the one to deploy anonymous digital dollars first. It's much more likely that the first dollar digital cash will be issued overseas, possibly London. By the same token, the non- dollar regulation on banks in this country is not the same as the dollar regulation, so it's quite possible that the New York banks may be the first issuers of digital cash, in pounds sterling, say. "There will be two stages in actually deploying digital cash. By digital cash, here, I mean a retail phenomenon, available anybody. The first will be to digitize money, and the second will be to anonymize it. Efforts are already well underway to make more-or-less secure digital funds transfers with reasonably low transaction fees (not transaction costs, which are much more than just fees). These efforts, as long as they retain some traceability, will almost certainly succeed first in the marketplace, because (and this is vital) the regulatory environment against anonymity is not compromised. "Once, however, money has been digitized, one of the services available for purchase can be the anonymous transfer of funds. I expect that the first digitization of money won't be fully fungible. For example, if you allow me to take money out of your checking account by automatic debit, there is risk that the money won't be there when I ask for it. Therefore that kind of money won't be completely fungible, because money authorized from one person won't be completely identical with money from another. It may be a risk issue, it may be a timeliness issue, it may be a fee issue; I don't know, but it's unlikely to be perfect. "Now, as the characteristic size of a business decreases, the relative costs of dealing with whatever imperfection there is will be greater. To wit, the small player will still have some problem getting paid, although certainly less than now. Digital cash solves many of these problems. The clearing is immediate and final (no transaction reversals). The number of entities to deal with is greatly reduced, hopefully to one. The need and risk and cost of accounts receivables is eliminated. It's anonymous. There will be services which will desire these advantages, enough to support a digital cash infrastructure. [Eric Hughes, Cypherpunks list, 1994-08-03]
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